by G. Murphy Donovan (November 2010)
"The fear of war is worse than war itself." - Seneca
Saving Islam from Itself
Sometimes the past provides instructive precedent. Yet just as often, history is meaningless for those who choose not learn from it. Several generations ago, soldiers saw a necessary relationship between war and winning. Today's brass seems to have foresworn goals like victory for more ambiguous objectives like "stability." Joe Stilwell must be rolling in his grave.
Stilwell was an iconic, albeit unsung, hero of WWII. At the start of the war, among his peers, he was thought to be one of the best and most demanding troop commanders on active duty. His soldiers called him "Vinegar Joe." Between wars, Stilwell had several tours as military attach? in China, acquiring a fluency in Mandarin. George Marshall assigned Stilwell to the China/Burma Theater.
Stilwell's jungle campaigns were overshadowed, then as now, by Admiral Nimitz, General MacArthur, and ultimately by an Air Corps B-29 over Hiroshima carrying a single bomb called Little Boy. The great achievement of Stilwell and his air commander, Claire Chennault (of the Flying Tigers), was that they tied down the core of the Japanese Imperial Army in China while Nimitz and MacArthur spilled guts and garnered glory in their Pacific island hopping campaigns.
Stilwell did not suffer fools gladly. He and George Marshall got along well enough, but he made no secret of his disdain for British and Chinese "allies;" the timidity of Lord Louis Mountbatten and the posturing of Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek. Vinegar Joe's acerbic personality didn't help much either. In the end, Roosevelt fired Stilwell at the behest of Chiang Kai-shek in the closing days of 1944. Six months later, the war was over. A little more than a year after that, Stilwell died quietly in bed at the Presidio from cancer.
Surely, the Second World War produced more flamboyant generals, like McArthur and Patton, but Stilwell set a standard for competence and modesty.
Brig. Gen. Frank D. Merrill and Lt. Gen. Joseph W. Stilwell meet near Naubum, Burma
Surviving photos of Joseph Stilwell (right) reveal a man who looked more like an aesthetic than a warrior; thin as a rail, balding, and bespectacled. Even his dress uniform was austere, just US lapel insignia and stars on his shoulders. Stilwell knew that real leaders had no need to wear a resume on their chests. "Fruit salad" and vinegar were a poor mix.
If Joe Stilwell's ghost walked into a Joint Chiefs meeting today at the Pentagon, it would be a little like watching Leonidas meeting Gilbert and Sullivan. And to be honest, most of the colors are awarded for attendance, not achievement. It's always easier to give soldiers a ribbon than it is to give them a promotion or raise.
And this emphasis on appearances is not without penalty. Recall the sad tale of Admiral Boorda, the late Chief of US Naval Operations, who committed suicide after it was discovered that he had awarded himself a Vietnam combat ribbon that he had not earned.
The hazards of emphasizing form over substance are not limited to personal humiliations. Looking good seems to be the new being good; a heretofore merit based military culture is absorbing an ethic of political correctness at the expense of victory. This new military idiom has very significant tactical and strategic implications. Admiral Mike Mullen, at the Pentagon, and General Dave Patraeus, in Afghanistan, provide examples.
Mullen is in danger of becoming the JCS Chairman best remembered for adopting the gay "rights" tar baby. The administration is hostage to a campaign promise and wants some high profile uniformed officer to win over Mullen's four star peers. So far it's tough sledding.
Clearly the White House and Congress are playing "kick the can" with the gay issue. Mullen and the Chiefs should be smart enough to punt the problem back where it belongs. The Pentagon has more important things to do in wartime. If the Congress wants to advance the ball, they might pass a law to retract "don't ask/don't tell" and surely the brass will salute smartly. Indeed, the President himself has recommended such an approach.
If the gay issue is a tactical distraction, the political correctness of General Dave Petraeus has strategic implications. The Patraeus political digressions make former ISAF commander General Stan McChrystal's loose talk look like prophesy. The difference between these two flag officers is candor; McChrystal had it and Patraeus does not.
President Barack Obama and General David Petraeus
The latter has become a megaphone for several politically correct misrepresentations; blaming Israel, Afghan withdrawal ambiguity, and suggestions that terror groups, including the Taliban, might be appeased - in the interest of "stability" or political solutions.
The blame Israel canard was on full display when Patraeus, as CENTCOM commander, dispatched a team of staffers to several Arab countries in order to take the pulse of the Arab street. The team returned and prepared a briefing that suggested America could or should make a deal with terrorists on Israel's borders: Hezbollah, Fattah, and Hamas. Never mind that none of these Arab groups can manage to partner with each other, least of all Israel. Now Patraeus has apparently carried the appeasement paradigm to South Asia where talk of making deals with the Taliban is rampant.
The Petraeus argument has three facets; victory is impossible, all possible solutions are political, and the key to political stability is a radical change to the long-standing policy of American/Israeli solidarity. A sordid axiom of the Petraeus worldview links Israeli intransigence to American casualties in Iraq, Afghanistan, and elsewhere. The attempt to link Israeli domestic policy to NATO casualties worldwide was later repeated by Vice President Joe Biden on his trip to the Mid-East. The military and political logic here comes perilously close to a classic anti-Semitic argument.
The CENTCOM analysis and its derivatives are fatally flawed on several counts. Legitimate pollsters audit Arab sentiments on a regular basis; anti-Jewish sentiment consistently registers in the upper 90th percentile. And scholars who have audited historical paranoia, xenophobia, and anti-Semitism in Arabia and the larger Muslim world agree that these phenomena pre-date the state of Israel by millennia.
Any connection between American foreign or Israeli domestic policies and future casualties in Iraq or South Asia is insupportable too. General Petraeus should know that there are no military operations analyses which measure events which might or do not happen. Indeed, if a thread links Islamist terror worldwide, it is anti-Semitism, not opposition to Israeli policies. The Mumbai attack which struck a Jewish center in India is illustrative. Pakistani jihadists were instructed that "the lives of Jews (not Israelis) were worth 50 times those of non-Jews."
There is no evidence that any kind of Israeli/Palestinian settlement would have any impact on Islamism worldwide. The historical evidence suggests just the opposite. Since the end of the Vietnam War, US forces have intervened on behalf of Muslims on a dozen occasions. There are few if any indications that such human and material largesse altered radical opinions, terror tempos, or the intensity of the propaganda jihad.
The Patraeus/Biden analysis fails to consider unintended consequences; the abundant evidence that appeasement will be seen as weakness or a lack of resolve. Islamists define victory as the elimination of Israel and the submission of the West. Beyond appeasement, General Petraeus' objectives reflect no such clarity.
The crux of the modern flag officer dilemma is modesty - or lack of it. The tendency of senior officers to regale themselves like refugees from the HMS Pinafore is merely an image problem; the treacherous waters of politics and political correctness are far more troublesome. No serving military officer should be asked, nor should they accept, any mission which asks them to campaign in domestic culture wars. No flag officers should be asked to fight for, or front for, changes in foreign policy. And no soldier should believe that ambiguous delusions like "stability" are a substitute for victory.
The military is the blunt instrument of policy; it is not a test bed for social reform, nor is it a policy think tank. Surely, military officers should provide discrete and confidential advice, but this should not be confused with consent. The Joint Chiefs and their subordinates execute national policy; they do not make it or approve it.
Joe Stilwell had more than his share of disagreements with his peers and President Roosevelt. He didn't like his assignment and his theater allies were less than helpful. Nonetheless, Stilwell held the Japanese by the nose while others kicked their azimuth. He never lost sight of his duty as a soldier; making the most of what he had and winning by inches.
To this end, Vinegar Joe's heirs might consider two suggestions. For appearances sake, the wearing of decorations, save the highest medal, purple hearts, and most the recent campaign ribbon should be optional. Real warriors don't need chest hair or fruit salad.
And in the interests of strategic clarity, General Patraeus should understand that the struggle with Islamism is not binary; i.e. military or political. The Islamic threat, like a pentagon, has five facets; ideology, religion, culture, politics, and violent jihad.
Any general who no longer believes in winning or victory in any of these venues ought to keep that sentiment to himself - or find another line of work. On his worst day in the jungles of Burma, Vinegar Joe would have never told his troops; "We are not here to win."
We seem to have bought into the Colin Powell's "Pottery Barn" analogy, the notion that, if we break anything in the Islamic world, we own it. Ironically, it was Powell's disingenuous presentation to the United Nations which justified the second Iraq war and subsequent occupation. The difference between the strategy of George Bush senior and his son is this question of occupation or presence on Muslim soil after, or if, the shooting subsides. For the moment, the Obama administration and General Patraeus seem to have accepted the occupation paradigm. It's hard to believe that any politician will bring the "nation building" definition of victory into another presidential election cycle.
So the question remains. Assuming we are at war with Islam or Islamists, or both; what does victory look like? Victory may look a lot like disengagement or, better still, redeployment and a reprioritization of targets within the Islamist threat matrix.
Iraq under Saddam Hussein was a threat to strategic energy sources. That threat has been neutralized. Afghanistan is a threat to itself and possibly will continue to be one of many terror sanctuaries. All the while, the threat to Israel and the Levant is obscured by the smoke from these small wars. Unfortunately, the Islamist threat in the Middle East is existential; Iraq and Afghanistan, in contrast, are merely troublesome.
Yet, by accident or design, NATO is now stuck in the muck of Islamic nation building and there's very little evidence that the alliance is capable or inclined to cope with another contingency - such as a perfect storm over Israel. That storm is forecast by a convergence of interests: Persian nuclear ambitions and the growing conventional capability of Arab non-state radicals encircling Israel.
Thus victory for NATO might look like Iraq and Afghanistan in the rear view mirror. Victory might even look like candor, an admission that the Islamist threat is not limited to South Asia or bin Laden and al Qaeda.
When the Soviets occupied Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia funded half the clandestine war against the Communists. Now that the threat comes from co-religionists, the Saudis have another standard.
Victory might also look like reassignment of responsibility; i.e. re-gifting the expense and manpower for the war on terror, counter-insurgency, and nation building to the Arab League. Only Muslims can save Islam from itself.
The goals of fanatics have been crystal clear for 50 years. They seek to circumscribe the influence of reason, freedom, and democracy in the West. Indeed, the Islamist definition of victory is captured in a word: submission. Fanatics also seek to eradicate the state of Israel. Our goals should have similar clarity. We might put the Muslim world on notice, Arabs and Persians in particular: Europe and America will defeat any threat to democratic institutions including Israel - no matter the cost.
The author is a Vietnam veteran and former Director of Intelligence with 25 years of military service. He also writes at Agnotology in Journalism and G. Murphy Donovan.
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